Following the end of the presidential debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, betting odds for both candidates are fastened at -110, with the next in line: JD Vance and Michelle Obama tied at +8,000. Additionally, the poll suggests Harris’ odds of winning increase to 56 in the prediction markets, according to Predictit. Whereas, Reuter poll shows Harris winning at 48.4 against Trump 47.3 on approval ratings.
Harris, having had a difficult run as Vice President attempting to produce concrete results for her projects, was not well liked to begin with. However, her approval rating bounced to 43.8% once Biden dropped out and received another boost when she picked Tim Walz as her running mate.
On the contrary, Trump, who has a distinguished flair for his oratory, saw his odds plummet over recent legal issues. Having successfully postponed the trial, his odds varied from +120 to -150 in betting markets. As of September 10, 2024, the popular vote shows Harris’ probability at 77.7% and Trump’s at 28.5%
To secure the required 270 electoral colleges, there are six key states with significant impacts to consider: Trump got his hold of North Carolina, Georgia and Arizona at -225, -175 and -188 respectively; while Harris acquired Michigan and Wisconsin both at -175 – the two candidates are tied in Pennsylvania at -120.
One may take into consideration the fact that the United States has never had a single female president up to this very day. Hillary Clinton, the only woman to ever get nominated prior to Harris, still could not defeat Trump. The implied probability of the next president’s gender is 77% for male and 29.4% for female, according to bet365.
